Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.045795 0.049940 0.054300 0.059230 0.064655 0.070447 0.077104
2026-01-25 0.037957 0.043874 0.050503 0.058496 0.067895 0.078625 0.091840
2026-02-01 0.031767 0.038529 0.046512 0.056671 0.069310 0.084590 0.104574
2026-02-08 0.027306 0.034488 0.043351 0.055159 0.070581 0.090180 0.117195
2026-02-15 0.023889 0.031238 0.040659 0.053721 0.071522 0.095158 0.129295
2026-02-22 0.021851 0.029478 0.039596 0.054142 0.074748 0.103235 0.146201
2026-03-01 0.019471 0.026982 0.037246 0.052472 0.074784 0.106745 0.156835
2026-03-08 0.017043 0.024174 0.034173 0.049419 0.072435 0.106455 0.161625
2026-03-15 0.015526 0.022517 0.032564 0.048294 0.072732 0.109972 0.172414
2026-03-22 0.014725 0.021827 0.032284 0.049088 0.075952 0.118154 0.191325
2026-03-29 0.014013 0.021201 0.032028 0.049862 0.079154 0.126525 0.211339
2026-04-05 0.013085 0.020163 0.031047 0.049378 0.080237 0.131477 0.225961
2026-04-12 0.012268 0.019260 0.030239 0.049155 0.081810 0.137530 0.243457
2026-04-19 0.011385 0.018189 0.029083 0.048261 0.082167 0.141541 0.257751
2026-04-26 0.010448 0.016961 0.027582 0.046650 0.081118 0.142946 0.267306
2026-05-03 0.009663 0.015932 0.026332 0.045368 0.080527 0.145095 0.278489
2026-05-10 0.008968 0.015006 0.025192 0.044181 0.079985 0.147248 0.289862
2026-05-17 0.008589 0.014596 0.024908 0.044508 0.082283 0.154982 0.313449
2026-05-24 0.007976 0.013734 0.023766 0.043155 0.081230 0.156045 0.323079
2026-05-31 0.007246 0.012618 0.022100 0.040686 0.077783 0.152000 0.321184
2026-06-07 0.006800 0.011989 0.021278 0.039775 0.077362 0.154073 0.333048
2026-06-14 0.006603 0.011803 0.021256 0.040417 0.080139 0.163045 0.361595
2026-06-21 0.006415 0.011621 0.021230 0.041042 0.082928 0.172291 0.391893